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Primera Nacional

Aug. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nueva Chicago San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago D L W D L W
San Martin Tucuman D W W D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martin Tucuman Nueva Chicago 2 - 0 March 15, 2026
San Martin Tucuman Nueva Chicago 1 - 1 June 25, 2023
Nueva Chicago San Martin Tucuman 1 - 0 February 20, 2023
Nueva Chicago San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 March 23, 2022
San Martin Tucuman Nueva Chicago 3 - 1 August 30, 2021
Nueva Chicago San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 April 19, 2021

Nueva Chicago Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
Jun 23, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 2 - 0 Win

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Home Almagro 3 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Patronato 0 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Temperley 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Colegiales 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 San Martin Tucuman 20 7 8 5 19 15 +4 29
19 Nueva Chicago 19 6 7 6 17 17 0 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 61.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Nueva Chicago will score 0 goals, and San Martin Tucuman will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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