Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay Sunday 16th August 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Oakland Roots Monterey Bay

Oakland Roots L L L W D D

Monterey Bay L L D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Monterey Bay	Oakland Roots	0 - 1	March 8, 2026
Oakland Roots	Monterey Bay	1 - 0	August 31, 2025
Monterey Bay	Oakland Roots	3 - 2	March 16, 2025
Monterey Bay	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	June 22, 2024
Oakland Roots	Monterey Bay	0 - 1	April 7, 2024
Oakland Roots	Monterey Bay	2 - 2	September 24, 2023

Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Lexington	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Orange County SC	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	San Antonio	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Oakland Roots	17	5	6	6	25	27	-2	21
22	Monterey Bay	17	4	3	10	17	27	-10	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that both Oakland Roots and Monterey Bay will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Oakland Roots to win

This prediction indicates that Oakland Roots has a 48.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.35 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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