J2 League
Match Analysis
Oita Trinita
Montedio Yamagata
Oita Trinita
D
D
L
L
W
L
Montedio Yamagata
D
W
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 2 | November 2, 2025 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Oita Trinita | 3 - 0 | May 6, 2025 |
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 0 - 3 | September 7, 2024 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Oita Trinita | 0 - 0 | June 9, 2024 |
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2023 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Oita Trinita | 5 - 0 | May 17, 2023 |
Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Nara Club | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Gainare Tottori | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sagan Tosu | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Kagoshima United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Kitakyushu | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Matsumoto Yamaga | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Shonan Bellmare | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Tochigi City | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sagamihara | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Home | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Tochigi SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Oita Trinita | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 31 | Montedio Yamagata | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Oita Trinita to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oita Trinita has a 35.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.08 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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