Oita Trinita vs Shonan Bellmare Saturday 08th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Oita Trinita Shonan Bellmare

Oita Trinita W D D L L W

Shonan Bellmare W L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Oita Trinita	Shonan Bellmare	2 - 0	September 11, 2021
Shonan Bellmare	Oita Trinita	2 - 0	May 9, 2021
Shonan Bellmare	Oita Trinita	1 - 2	December 16, 2020
Oita Trinita	Shonan Bellmare	2 - 2	September 9, 2020
Oita Trinita	Shonan Bellmare	2 - 1	September 14, 2019
Shonan Bellmare	Oita Trinita	0 - 1	May 12, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Nara Club	3 - 3	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Gainare Tottori	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Kagoshima United	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 4	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Iwaki	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Vegalta Sendai	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Yokohama FC	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Shonan Bellmare	20	8	5	7	26	21	+5	29
27	Oita Trinita	19	6	4	9	21	21	0	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Shonan Bellmare has a 43.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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