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Ykkönen

Aug. 5, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

OLS TPV
OLS D L L D L W
TPV W W W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
TPV OLS 2 - 2 May 16, 2026
OLS TPV 0 - 3 September 23, 2018
TPV OLS 2 - 2 June 26, 2018

OLS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away PKKU 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away VJS 4 - 3 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Inter Turku II 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home KuPS Akatemia 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 11, 26 Away Tampere United 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home SalPa 5 - 0 Win

TPV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home KuPS Akatemia 3 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away KPV-j 1 - 3 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home JJK 1 - 0 Win
Jun 29, 26 Away VJS 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away PKKU 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Inter Turku II 1 - 1 Draw

Ykkönen Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 OLS 16 6 5 5 30 23 +7 23
9 TPV 15 4 4 7 19 25 -6 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.7% likelihood that both OLS and TPV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
OLS to win
This prediction indicates that OLS has a 54.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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