Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata Saturday 08th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Omiya Ardija Albirex Niigata

Omiya Ardija W L W L L W

Albirex Niigata L D D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Albirex Niigata	Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	September 25, 2022
Omiya Ardija	Albirex Niigata	2 - 2	February 26, 2022
Albirex Niigata	Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	August 9, 2021
Omiya Ardija	Albirex Niigata	2 - 3	May 5, 2021
Omiya Ardija	Albirex Niigata	3 - 1	December 20, 2020
Albirex Niigata	Omiya Ardija	1 - 1	August 8, 2020

Omiya Ardija Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Kochi United	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yokohama FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	FC Gifu	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Parceiro Nagano	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	4 - 3	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Iwaki	3 - 2	Win

Albirex Niigata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Montedio Yamagata	3 - 4	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Consadole Sapporo	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Kagoshima United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ehime FC	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Nara Club	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Kanazawa	1 - 1	Draw

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Albirex Niigata	20	9	7	4	21	17	+4	34
10	Omiya Ardija	20	10	2	8	41	31	+10	32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.23% likelihood that both Omiya Ardija and Albirex Niigata will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Omiya Ardija to win

This prediction indicates that Omiya Ardija has a 49.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.96 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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