Primera A
Match Analysis
Once Caldas
Alianza Petrolera
Once Caldas
D
W
W
W
D
L
Alianza Petrolera
L
D
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Petrolera | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | February 8, 2026 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Once Caldas | 0 - 0 | August 15, 2025 |
| Once Caldas | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 2 | March 2, 2025 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Once Caldas | 1 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Once Caldas | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 0 | March 25, 2024 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Once Caldas | 2 - 1 | September 26, 2023 |
Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Envigado | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Envigado | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 14, 26 | Away | Junior | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Junior | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Real Santander | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Popayan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Once Caldas | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 37 |
| 16 | Alianza Petrolera | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Once Caldas to win
This prediction indicates that Once Caldas has a 64.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.05 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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