Primera A
Match Analysis
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
L
W
L
W
D
D
Deportes Tolima
L
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | 2 - 1 | February 15, 2026 |
| Once Caldas | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 1 | August 24, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | 2 - 0 | March 11, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | 1 - 0 | December 8, 2024 |
| Once Caldas | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | November 21, 2024 |
| Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | October 25, 2024 |
Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Chico | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Junior | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 53 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 43 |
Predictions
Once Caldas to win
This prediction indicates that Once Caldas has a 47.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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