Once Caldas vs Envigado Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Once Caldas Envigado

Once Caldas D L W D W D

Envigado W W D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Once Caldas	Envigado	1 - 0	September 13, 2025
Envigado	Once Caldas	1 - 2	May 1, 2025
Envigado	Once Caldas	0 - 2	January 13, 2025
Envigado	Once Caldas	0 - 1	September 21, 2024
Once Caldas	Envigado	2 - 1	March 10, 2024
Once Caldas	Envigado	0 - 0	September 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 14, 26	Away	Junior	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Junior	0 - 1	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Rionegro Aguilas	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 20, 26	Home	La Equidad	2 - 1	Win
Apr 10, 26	Away	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 10, 26	Home	Independiente Medellin	2 - 1	Win
Nov 14, 25	Away	Llaneros	0 - 3	Win
Nov 11, 25	Away	Independiente Medellin	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 7, 25	Home	Millonarios	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 3, 25	Home	Independiente Medellin	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 28, 25	Away	Rionegro Aguilas	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Once Caldas has a 59.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.18 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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