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Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ordabasy FC Astana
Ordabasy W W W L W L
FC Astana D W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Astana Ordabasy 1 - 1 April 11, 2026
Ordabasy FC Astana 1 - 0 July 13, 2025
FC Astana Ordabasy 2 - 1 April 5, 2025
Ordabasy FC Astana 2 - 4 September 22, 2024
FC Astana Ordabasy 0 - 1 June 16, 2024
Ordabasy FC Astana 1 - 2 September 24, 2023

Ordabasy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Altay 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Zhetysu 0 - 4 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home FK Tobol Kostanay 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Kairat Almaty 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Yelimay Semey 3 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Kaspiy 3 - 2 Loss

FC Astana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Kyzyl-Zhar 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Ulytau 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Altay 4 - 1 Win
Jul 16, 26 Home Dinamo Tirana 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Aktobe 3 - 2 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 22 16 4 2 43 16 +27 52
3 FC Astana 21 11 6 4 34 22 +12 39

Predictions

Ordabasy to win
This prediction indicates that Ordabasy has a 46.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.31 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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