Segunda División
Match Analysis
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
L
W
W
W
D
L
Fenix
W
L
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenix | Oriental | 2 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| Fenix | Oriental | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2026 |
| Fenix | Oriental | 2 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Oriental | Fenix | 2 - 0 | June 7, 2025 |
| Oriental | Fenix | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2025 |
Oriental Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Miramar | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Tacuarembo | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | La Luz | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Cerrito | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Atenas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | CA River Plate | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Rentistas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Miramar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Tacuarembo | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | La Luz | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oriental | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 38 |
| 4 | Fenix | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oriental to win
This prediction indicates that Oriental has a 42.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.05 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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