Ospitaletto vs Renate Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Ospitaletto

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Renate

Match Analysis

Ospitaletto Renate

Ospitaletto D W W D W D

Renate D D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ospitaletto	Renate	1 - 1	February 8, 2026
Renate	Ospitaletto	1 - 2	September 25, 2025

Ospitaletto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Away	Athletic Carpi	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Juventus U23	3 - 0	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Arzignano Valchiampo	3 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Albinoleffe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Lumezzane	2 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Rovato Vertovese	2 - 2	Draw

Renate Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Dolomiti Bellunesi	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Lumezzane	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Home	Novara	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Cittadella	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Alcione	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Città di Varese	2 - 0	Win

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Ospitaletto	4	3	1	0	9	2	+7	10
19	Renate	4	0	1	3	4	8	-4	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Ospitaletto to win

This prediction indicates that Ospitaletto has a 53.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.94 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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