Ostia Mare vs Forli Sunday 27th September 2026 03:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone B

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ostia Mare Forli

Ostia Mare W L L L L

Forli W L W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Vis Pesaro	1 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Grosseto	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Perugia	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 5, 26	Away	Lazio	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Benevento	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	Vis Pesaro	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Latina	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Pescara	6 - 3	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Sambenedettese	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Cesena	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Away	Tre Fiori	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Forli	3	1	1	1	8	7	+1	4
13	Ostia Mare	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1	3

This prediction indicates that Ostia Mare has a 40.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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