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National League - North logo

National League - North

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Oxford City Bedford Town
Oxford City W W L W D W
Bedford Town W W W D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Oxford City Bedford Town 1 - 2 November 1, 2025
Bedford Town Oxford City 1 - 0 October 21, 2025

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home Briton Ferry 4 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Darlington 1883 1 - 3 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Chester 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 14, 26 Away Hereford 1 - 2 Win
Apr 11, 26 Away Alfreton Town 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 6, 26 Home Peterborough Sports 2 - 0 Win

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 2 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Biggleswade 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Berkhamsted 2 - 0 Win
Jul 7, 26 Home Aldershot Town 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Scarborough Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away South Shields 1 - 1 Draw

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Bedford Town None None None None None None None None
None Oxford City None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Oxford City to win
This prediction indicates that Oxford City has a 42.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.49 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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