Liga I
Match Analysis
Oţelul
CS Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
L
D
D
W
W
D
CS Universitatea Craiova
W
L
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Oţelul and CS Universitatea Craiova are in moderate recent form, but CS Universitatea Craiova has a clear quality gap in their favor and have dominated recent meetings between the two teams. The model predicts a 50% chance of an away win for CS Universitatea Craiova, which is notably higher confidence than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 52% chance that both teams will score and a 44% chance the match will finish with under 2.5 goals, aligning with CS Universitatea Craiova's recent strong attacking form despite Oţelul's rest advantage.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | 1 - 0 | February 5, 2026 |
| Oţelul | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| CS Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | 2 - 1 | February 14, 2025 |
| CS Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | 1 - 2 | January 11, 2025 |
| Oţelul | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | October 5, 2024 |
| Oţelul | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 3 | November 26, 2023 |
Oţelul Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Uta Arad | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC Bacau | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Farul Constanta | 0 - 0 | Draw |
CS Universitatea Craiova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | KuPS | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Arges Pitesti | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | KuPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Petrolul Ploiesti | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Levski Sofia | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Dinamo Bucuresti | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Liga I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CS Universitatea Craiova | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Predictions
CS Universitatea Craiova to win
This prediction indicates that CS Universitatea Craiova has a 50.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.54 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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