Liga MX
Match Analysis
Pachuca
Puebla
Pachuca
L
L
W
W
L
W
Puebla
D
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pachuca | Puebla | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| Pachuca | Puebla | 2 - 1 | March 8, 2026 |
| Puebla | Pachuca | 2 - 2 | September 24, 2025 |
| Pachuca | Puebla | 2 - 1 | February 27, 2025 |
| Puebla | Pachuca | 2 - 3 | September 21, 2024 |
| Puebla | Pachuca | 1 - 4 | February 21, 2024 |
Pachuca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Leon | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Club Queretaro | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Puebla | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Away | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 0 | Win |
Puebla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Cruz Azul | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | FC Juarez | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Atlas | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Pachuca | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Tlaxcala | 3 - 1 | Win |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that both Pachuca and Puebla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Pachuca to win
This prediction indicates that Pachuca has a 66.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.42 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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