Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Pafos HNK Hajduk Split

Pafos L L D W W W

HNK Hajduk Split L W W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Slovan Bratislava	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	FK Jablonec	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Cracovia Krakow	1 - 2	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Apollon Limassol	0 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Apoel Nicosia	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Žilina	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	Žilina	2 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Celje	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	LNZ Cherkasy	0 - 1	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Shkendija	0 - 4	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Vukovar	6 - 3	Win

This prediction indicates that Pafos has a 44.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.58 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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