Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Pagham Hanworth Villa
Pagham W D L L L L
Hanworth Villa W W W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Pagham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 8, 26 Home Ascot United 2 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Ascot United 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 25 Home Horsham YMCA 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 3, 24 Away Erith Town 6 - 2 Loss
Aug 5, 23 Home East Grinstead Town 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 6, 22 Home Erith Town 0 - 4 Loss

Hanworth Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Whitstable Town 4 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Welwyn Garden City 5 - 2 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Kingstonian 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic 2 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home St Albans City 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 25 Away Tower Hamlets 3 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that both Pagham and Hanworth Villa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Pagham or Hanworth Villa to win
This prediction indicates that Hanworth Villa has a 39.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.80 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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