Paju Citizen vs Busan I Park Saturday 10th October 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

K League 2

Oct. 10, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Paju Citizen Busan I Park

Paju Citizen W D L D W L

Busan I Park L W L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Busan I Park	Paju Citizen	4 - 1	May 30, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Gimhae City	0 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	Daegu FC	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Gyeongnam FC	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Seoul E-Land FC	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Home	Seongnam FC	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Suwon City FC	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Gimpo Citizen	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Gimhae City	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Ansan Greeners	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Suwon City FC	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Daegu FC	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Hwaseong	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Busan I Park	26	12	5	9	41	34	+7	41
12	Paju Citizen	24	7	5	12	22	28	-6	26

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Paju Citizen has a 39.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.07 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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