Palermo vs Lecce Monday 17th August 2026 10:15 PM football predictions.

Palermo Lecce

Palermo D D W L W L

Lecce W D L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Palermo	Lecce	2 - 1	March 2, 2019
Lecce	Palermo	1 - 2	October 21, 2018
Lecce	Palermo	1 - 1	March 18, 2012
Palermo	Lecce	2 - 0	October 27, 2011
Lecce	Palermo	2 - 4	February 6, 2011
Palermo	Lecce	2 - 2	September 26, 2010

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Iraklis 1908	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	FC Nurnberg	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	Paradiso	7 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	FC Ingolstadt 04	1 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Catanzaro	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Catanzaro	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Bistrica	5 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Istra 1961	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	FC Politehnica Timisoara	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Szombathelyi Haladas	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Genoa	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Sassuolo	2 - 3	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Palermo has a 49.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.63 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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