Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Monday 27th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Palmeiras Atletico-MG

Palmeiras W W W L D D

Atletico-MG W W L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atletico-MG	Palmeiras	2 - 2	January 28, 2026
Atletico-MG	Palmeiras	0 - 3	December 4, 2025
Palmeiras	Atletico-MG	3 - 2	July 20, 2025
Palmeiras	Atletico-MG	2 - 1	September 28, 2024
Atletico-MG	Palmeiras	0 - 4	June 17, 2024
Palmeiras	Atletico-MG	0 - 2	October 19, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Junior	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Flamengo	0 - 3	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Cerro Porteno	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	remo	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 1	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Puerto Cabello	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Corinthians	1 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Cienciano	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Mirassol	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Botafogo	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	17	11	5	1	29	13	+16	38
14	Atletico-MG	17	6	3	8	21	23	-2	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 63.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.60 %

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