Super League 1
Match Analysis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
L
D
L
L
D
D
Asteras Tripolis
L
D
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a draw between Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis with a 40% probability. The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but Panetolikos is coming into this match with poor recent form, while Asteras Tripolis has moderate form. Despite Asteras Tripolis's history of dominating recent meetings and scoring plenty of goals in those games, the model sees this as a tight contest likely to end in a draw. The model’s draw probability aligns reasonably with the market odds, which also suggest a close and uncertain outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | 2 - 1 | April 22, 2026 |
| Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | 3 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | 1 - 1 | November 22, 2025 |
| Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | 2 - 0 | January 13, 2025 |
| Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 1 | September 21, 2024 |
Panetolikos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Kalamata | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Estac Troyes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Omonia Nicosia | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Panserraikos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Larisa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Asteras Tripolis Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Levadiakos | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | ADO Den Haag | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Panetolikos | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Panserraikos | 1 - 0 | Win |
Super League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Panetolikos will score 0 goals, and Asteras Tripolis will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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