PAOK W vs Neftçi Bakı Saturday 25th July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

PAOK W Neftçi Bakı

PAOK W W L D L W L

Neftçi Bakı D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Hapoel Jerusalem W	3 - 1	Win
Sep 7, 24	Away	Servette Chênois W	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Home	Maccabi Kiryat Gat W	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 9, 23	Away	St. Pölten W	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 23	Home	Racing W	6 - 1	Win
Aug 21, 22	Home	Rangers W	0 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Budućnost W	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 30, 25	Away	Fomget Gençlik	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 24	Away	Lanchkhuti	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Away	St. Pölten W	5 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that PAOK W has a 46.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.33 %

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