Parma vs Catania Friday 14th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Coppa Italia

Aug. 14, 2026 4 days, 12 hours from now VS

Parma Catania

Parma L D D D D W

Catania D W L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Parma	Catania	0 - 0	February 9, 2014
Catania	Parma	0 - 0	September 22, 2013
Parma	Catania	1 - 2	February 24, 2013
Catania	Parma	2 - 0	October 7, 2012
Catania	Parma	1 - 1	January 28, 2012
Parma	Catania	3 - 3	December 21, 2011

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Home	Sampdoria	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	Iraklis 1908	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 30, 26	Home	Arezzo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Trento	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Sassuolo	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Vicenza Virtus	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Home	Ascoli	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Ascoli	4 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Lecco	3 - 3	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Lecco	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Atalanta II	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Parma has a 55.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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