Parnahyba vs Águia de Marabá Saturday 20th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Parnahyba Águia de Marabá

Parnahyba W D L L W W

Águia de Marabá L W W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Moto Club	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Iguatu	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Maracanã	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Sampaio Correa	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	IAPE	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	IAPE	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Trem	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Tocantinópolis	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Imperatriz	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Tuna Luso	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Oratório	5 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Oratório	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20	11	+9	18
47	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11	13	-2	14

This prediction indicates that Águia de Marabá has a 49.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.72 %

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