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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Parnahyba Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba W D L L W W
Águia de Marabá L W W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Parnahyba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Moto Club 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Iguatu 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Maracanã 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Sampaio Correa 4 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Away IAPE 1 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home IAPE 3 - 1 Win

Águia de Marabá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Trem 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 3 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Imperatriz 0 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Away Tuna Luso 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Oratório 5 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Oratório 1 - 2 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 Águia de Marabá 10 5 3 2 20 11 +9 18
47 Parnahyba 10 4 2 4 11 13 -2 14

Predictions

Águia de Marabá to win
This prediction indicates that Águia de Marabá has a 49.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.72 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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