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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Parnahyba Moto Club
Parnahyba D L L W W W
Moto Club L L D L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Moto Club Parnahyba 1 - 1 April 5, 2026

Parnahyba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Iguatu 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Maracanã 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Sampaio Correa 4 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Away IAPE 1 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home IAPE 3 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sampaio Correa 1 - 0 Win

Moto Club Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Maracanã 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Sampaio Correa 4 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home IAPE 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Iguatu 3 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Sampaio Correa 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home Iguatu 0 - 0 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
61 Parnahyba 9 3 2 4 10 13 -3 11
81 Moto Club 9 2 3 4 8 14 -6 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Parnahyba to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Parnahyba has a 40.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.46 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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