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Primera Nacional

July 21, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Patronato Atlanta
Patronato L D D D D L
Atlanta L L W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atlanta Patronato 0 - 0 March 3, 2026
Patronato Atlanta 0 - 0 August 31, 2025
Atlanta Patronato 1 - 1 April 26, 2025
Atlanta Patronato 0 - 0 March 3, 2012
Patronato Atlanta 3 - 2 September 4, 2011

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Midland 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away Agropecuario 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 0 Loss

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Almagro 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Midland 1 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Atlanta 19 10 3 6 24 15 +9 33
26 Patronato 18 4 9 5 12 15 -3 21

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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