Primera Nacional logo

Primera Nacional

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Patronato Atlanta
Patronato D D L D L D
Atlanta W L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atlanta Patronato 0 - 0 March 3, 2026
Patronato Atlanta 0 - 0 August 31, 2025
Atlanta Patronato 1 - 1 April 26, 2025
Atlanta Patronato 0 - 0 March 3, 2012
Patronato Atlanta 3 - 2 September 4, 2011

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Colegiales 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Quilmes 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Midland 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Midland 1 - 1 Draw

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Temperley 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 4 - 2 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Home Almagro 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Colegiales 1 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Almagro 2 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Atlanta 23 12 3 8 29 22 +7 39
30 Patronato 23 4 12 7 18 23 -5 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Atlanta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atlanta has a 35.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.81 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]