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Primera Nacional

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Patronato Tristan Suarez
Patronato L W D W D D
Tristan Suarez D W L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Patronato Tristan Suarez 2 - 0 July 6, 2025
Tristan Suarez Patronato 2 - 0 March 1, 2025
Patronato Tristan Suarez 3 - 0 July 7, 2024
Tristan Suarez Patronato 0 - 1 February 17, 2024

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 2 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Temperley 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Home Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw

Tristan Suarez Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Colegiales 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Quilmes 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Midland 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Atlanta 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 2 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Tristan Suarez 14 6 6 2 14 9 +5 24
24 Patronato 14 4 5 5 9 12 -3 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 64.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Patronato to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Patronato has a 38.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.02 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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