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Serie C

Sept. 8, 2026 VS

Match Analysis

Paysandu Brusque
Paysandu L W L W L W
Brusque D D W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paysandu Brusque 1 - 1 April 12, 2026
Paysandu Brusque 1 - 0 November 12, 2024
Brusque Paysandu 1 - 0 July 25, 2024
Paysandu Brusque 0 - 2 July 1, 2023

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Maringá 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Ituano 0 - 1 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Ferroviária 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Home Confiança 2 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Amazonas 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 3 - 2 Win

Brusque Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home Amazonas 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Inter De Limeira 3 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Maranhão 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Ituano 1 - 0 Win
Jul 13, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 1 - 0 Loss

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brusque 18 9 4 5 26 20 +6 31
4 Paysandu 18 9 2 7 26 26 0 29

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Paysandu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Paysandu has a 35.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.17 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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