Paysandu vs Tacuarembo Tuesday 29th September 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Segunda División

Paysandu

Sept. 29, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Tacuarembo

Match Analysis

Paysandu Tacuarembo

Paysandu L W W D L L

Tacuarembo D L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tacuarembo	Paysandu	1 - 0	June 20, 2026

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	La Luz	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Cerrito	1 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Atenas	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	CA River Plate	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	1 - 0	Loss

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Oriental	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Colón	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Fenix	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	Rentistas	0 - 1	Win
Aug 9, 26	Away	Miramar	1 - 1	Draw

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Paysandu	24	8	3	13	27	31	-4	27
13	Tacuarembo	24	6	7	11	18	28	-10	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Paysandu to win

This prediction indicates that Paysandu has a 44.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.75 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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