Penafiel vs Portimonense Sunday 09th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Penafiel Portimonense

Penafiel L L D L W L

Portimonense L W D W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Penafiel	Portimonense	0 - 2	January 17, 2026
Portimonense	Penafiel	1 - 1	September 21, 2025
Portimonense	Penafiel	2 - 1	August 9, 2025
Penafiel	Portimonense	3 - 0	February 21, 2025
Portimonense	Penafiel	0 - 2	September 28, 2024
Penafiel	Portimonense	0 - 3	November 19, 2021

Penafiel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Leganes	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Guimaraes	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Famalicao	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Pacos Ferreira	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Maritimo	1 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Torreense	3 - 2	Loss

Portimonense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Rio Ave	0 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Farense	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Felgueiras 1932	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Chaves	3 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	3 - 2	Win

Segunda Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Portimonense	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Penafiel	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Penafiel to win

This prediction indicates that Penafiel has a 41.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.74 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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