Penarol vs Central Espanol Tuesday 02nd June 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Penarol Central Espanol

Penarol L W D W W D

Central Espanol L W W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Central Espanol	Penarol	2 - 1	February 15, 2026
Central Espanol	Penarol	1 - 3	March 29, 2013
Penarol	Central Espanol	3 - 0	October 6, 2012

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	Santa Fe	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Defensor Sporting	0 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	2 - 1	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	2 - 3	Win
May 7, 26	Away	Platense	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Cerro	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Boston River	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Cerro	3 - 1	Win
Apr 17, 26	Away	Albion FC	6 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Penarol	17	10	3	4	27	17	+10	33
7	Central Espanol	17	8	3	6	25	24	+1	27

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Penarol has a 61.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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