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Primera División

Aug. 4, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Perez Zeledon CS Cartagines
Perez Zeledon L D L L D L
CS Cartagines W D L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features a clear quality gap favoring CS Cartagines, who are considered stronger than Perez Zeledon. CS Cartagines also have strong recent form, while Perez Zeledon have struggled recently, especially defensively. The model predicts a 52% chance of an away win, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a higher chance of more than one goal being scored, aligning with the market's view on the over/under 1.5 line.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Perez Zeledon CS Cartagines 3 - 1 March 22, 2026
CS Cartagines Perez Zeledon 1 - 0 February 8, 2026
Perez Zeledon CS Cartagines 1 - 3 November 25, 2025
CS Cartagines Perez Zeledon 1 - 1 September 19, 2025
CS Cartagines Perez Zeledon 3 - 0 April 12, 2025
Perez Zeledon CS Cartagines 0 - 1 February 24, 2025

Perez Zeledon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Deportivo Saprissa 5 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away San Carlos 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 23, 26 Home CS Herediano 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Guadalupe FC 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Home Puntarenas FC 3 - 3 Draw
Apr 5, 26 Away Deportivo Saprissa 4 - 0 Loss

CS Cartagines Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Inter San Carlos 3 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away CS Herediano 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home CS Herediano 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Guadalupe FC 0 - 5 Win
Apr 22, 26 Home San Carlos 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Municipal Liberia 1 - 0 Loss

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 CS Cartagines 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
11 Perez Zeledon 1 0 0 1 1 5 -4 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
CS Cartagines to win
This prediction indicates that CS Cartagines has a 51.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.46 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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