Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese Thursday 17th September 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Pergolettese Folgore Caratese

Pergolettese L L D W D D

Folgore Caratese D L D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Union Brescia	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Cittadella	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Inter U23	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Lecco	3 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Vicenza Virtus	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Virtus Verona	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Away	Novara	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 24, 26	Home	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Arezzo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 22	Home	Renate	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 21	Home	USD Casatese	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Folgore Caratese	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
20	Pergolettese	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.46% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Pergolettese has a 36.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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