Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Perugia
Spezia
Perugia
D
W
D
L
D
D
Spezia
W
D
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | Spezia | 0 - 3 | February 8, 2020 |
| Spezia | Perugia | 2 - 2 | September 21, 2019 |
| Spezia | Perugia | 1 - 1 | April 27, 2019 |
| Perugia | Spezia | 1 - 1 | December 15, 2018 |
| Perugia | Spezia | 3 - 0 | March 17, 2018 |
| Spezia | Perugia | 4 - 2 | October 21, 2017 |
Perugia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Vis Pesaro | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Ostia Mare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Forli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Città di Campobasso | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Ternana | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Juventus U23 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Spezia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Città di Campobasso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Grosseto | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Empoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Pescara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Venezia | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Catanzaro | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Spezia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Spezia has a 33.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.53 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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