Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Peterhead Hamilton Academical

Peterhead W L L D L L

Hamilton Academical D W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hamilton Academical	Peterhead	3 - 1	April 25, 2026
Peterhead	Hamilton Academical	2 - 3	January 17, 2026
Hamilton Academical	Peterhead	3 - 0	November 8, 2025
Peterhead	Hamilton Academical	2 - 2	September 13, 2025

Peterhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Banks O' Dee	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 14, 26	Home	Inverness CT	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	East Fife	2 - 1	Loss

Hamilton Academical Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Clyde	4 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 1	Win
May 5, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Inverness CT	2 - 1	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Hamilton Academical	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Peterhead	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.14% likelihood that both Peterhead and Hamilton Academical will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hamilton Academical to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Hamilton Academical has a 37.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.68 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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