First League
Match Analysis
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
PFC Sochi
L
D
L
W
D
D
Arsenal Tula
L
W
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula | 3 - 3 | June 26, 2026 |
| PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula | 5 - 1 | May 3, 2025 |
| Arsenal Tula | PFC Sochi | 1 - 1 | October 13, 2024 |
| PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula | 2 - 0 | February 26, 2022 |
| Arsenal Tula | PFC Sochi | 1 - 2 | October 31, 2021 |
| PFC Sochi | Arsenal Tula | 4 - 0 | February 27, 2021 |
PFC Sochi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Spartak Kostroma | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Torpedo Moskva | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Ska-khabarovsk | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Arsenal Tula | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | FK Neftekhimik | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Tekstilshchik | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Spartak Kostroma | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 - 2 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | PFC Sochi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
PFC Sochi to win
This prediction indicates that PFC Sochi has a 49.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.48 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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