PFC Sochi vs Volga Ulyanovsk Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

PFC Sochi

Aug. 16, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

1 – 0

Full Time

Volga Ulyanovsk

Match Analysis

PFC Sochi Volga Ulyanovsk

PFC Sochi W L W L D L

Volga Ulyanovsk W L W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

PFC Sochi has a modest quality edge over Volga Ulyanovsk, which influences the model's outlook despite both teams showing moderate recent form. The model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting its view that chances will be created, especially due to Sochi's recent creation of more shooting opportunities. The market odds are less confident about the over outcomes than the model.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
PFC Sochi	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 0	October 16, 2024

PFC Sochi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 2	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Leningradets	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	5 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 3	Loss

Volga Ulyanovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	KAMAZ	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	2 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Enisey	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Veles	0 - 2	Win

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	PFC Sochi	5	2	1	2	10	7	+3	7
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	5	2	0	3	6	8	-2	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.59% likelihood that both PFC Sochi and Volga Ulyanovsk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

PFC Sochi to win

This prediction indicates that PFC Sochi has a 58.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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