Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
W
W
W
FC Cincinnati
D
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | 0 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 1 | March 2, 2025 |
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 1 | February 7, 2025 |
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | 1 - 2 | October 20, 2024 |
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 3 | June 19, 2024 |
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 3 | February 9, 2024 |
Philadelphia Union Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 3 - 1 | Win |
FC Cincinnati Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 - 3 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 31 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.94% likelihood that both Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Philadelphia Union to win
This prediction indicates that Philadelphia Union has a 42.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.44 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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