USL Championship
Match Analysis
Phoenix Rising
Louisville City
Phoenix Rising
W
L
D
W
W
W
Louisville City
D
L
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville City | Phoenix Rising | 4 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
| Phoenix Rising | Louisville City | 2 - 2 | June 18, 2023 |
| Louisville City | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 0 | July 20, 2022 |
| Louisville City | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 0 | November 9, 2018 |
Phoenix Rising Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 3 - 0 | Win |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 1 - 0 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Louisville City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that both Phoenix Rising and Louisville City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Phoenix Rising or Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 38.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.90 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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