USL Championship
Match Analysis
Phoenix Rising
Sacramento Republic
Phoenix Rising
L
D
W
W
W
L
Sacramento Republic
L
W
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 0 | April 5, 2026 |
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 2 | September 14, 2025 |
| Phoenix Rising | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 2 | April 19, 2025 |
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 0 | September 15, 2024 |
| Phoenix Rising | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 1 | May 5, 2024 |
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 2 | November 5, 2023 |
Phoenix Rising Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 5, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 21, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 5, 26 | Home | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 29, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 2 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | Phoenix Rising | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Phoenix Rising to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Phoenix Rising has a 34.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.66 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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