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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Piauí Tirol/CEFAT
Piauí W L W D L D
Tirol/CEFAT D W D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tirol/CEFAT Piauí 1 - 2 April 4, 2026

Piauí Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Uniclinic Atletico Clube 0 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Home Fluminense PI 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Altos 0 - 1 Win
May 11, 26 Home Ferroviario 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Ferroviario 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 30, 26 Home AO Itabaiana 1 - 1 Draw

Tirol/CEFAT Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Ferroviario 0 - 0 Draw
May 26, 26 Away Uniclinic Atletico Clube 0 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home Fluminense PI 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Altos 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Altos 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Fluminense PI 0 - 0 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
41 Piauí 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
67 Tirol/CEFAT 9 2 4 3 9 8 +1 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Piauí to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Piauí has a 36.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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