Serie B
Match Analysis
Pisa
Padova
Pisa
D
W
L
D
W
L
Padova
L
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Pisa with a 53% probability. Pisa has a modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Padova, which suggests they may have an advantage. However, Padova have a rest advantage, which could help them perform better despite their recent struggles. The model’s confidence in a home win is somewhat higher than what the market odds imply, as the odds suggest a less pronounced favoritism for Pisa.
Pisa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Empoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Bologna | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | PRO Vercelli | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Juventus U23 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Pavia | 6 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Lazio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Padova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Udinese | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Monza | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cittadella | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ospitaletto | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Cesena | 3 - 4 | Win |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Pisa to win
This prediction indicates that Pisa has a 52.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.33 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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