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Ettan - Norra

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Piteå Umeå FC
Piteå L D D D L L
Umeå FC W D L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Umeå FC Piteå 2 - 0 June 12, 2026
Piteå Umeå FC 1 - 0 March 28, 2026
Umeå FC Piteå 4 - 0 February 21, 2026
Umeå FC Piteå 3 - 0 March 23, 2025
Umeå FC Piteå 3 - 0 August 24, 2024
Piteå Umeå FC 0 - 0 May 31, 2024

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away FBK Karlstad 4 - 3 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away Hammarby Talang 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Vasalund 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away Arlanda 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home gefle IF 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 24, 26 Away Karlberg 3 - 1 Loss

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Vasalund 3 - 2 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Enköping 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away gefle IF 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home AFC Eskilstuna 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Täfteå 1 - 0 Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Umeå FC 19 5 5 9 24 32 -8 20
15 Piteå 19 2 6 11 21 40 -19 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.72% likelihood that both Piteå and Umeå FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Piteå or Umeå FC to win
This prediction indicates that Piteå has a 38.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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