Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa Thursday 30th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pittsburgh Riverhounds FC Tulsa

Pittsburgh Riverhounds L D W W W L

FC Tulsa L W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Tulsa	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	November 22, 2025
FC Tulsa	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2 - 2	May 12, 2024
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	FC Tulsa	3 - 2	September 30, 2023
FC Tulsa	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	March 29, 2023
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	FC Tulsa	1 - 0	July 30, 2022
FC Tulsa	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3 - 4	April 9, 2022

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Brooklyn	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Louisville City	0 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	0 - 1	Loss

FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	13	6	2	5	15	15	0	20
13	FC Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	+1	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 38.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.27 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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