USL Championship
Match Analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Indy Eleven
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
W
W
L
W
L
D
Indy Eleven
W
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Indy Eleven | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 3 | February 6, 2026 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Indy Eleven | 2 - 1 | October 11, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 0 | June 14, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 2 | February 12, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 1 | August 31, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Miami FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Lexington | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 3 - 1 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 16 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win
This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 42.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.60 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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