Plaza Colonia vs La Luz Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Plaza Colonia La Luz

Plaza Colonia L L W D L W

La Luz D W L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Plaza Colonia	La Luz	2 - 0	September 25, 2024
La Luz	Plaza Colonia	2 - 1	June 9, 2024
La Luz	Plaza Colonia	1 - 1	October 22, 2023
Plaza Colonia	La Luz	1 - 1	March 16, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Cerrito	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Atenas	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Paysandu	1 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Sportivo Huracan	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Oriental	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	CA River Plate	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Cerrito	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Atenas	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Plaza Colonia	13	6	4	3	16	9	+7	22
11	La Luz	13	3	7	3	11	13	-2	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Plaza Colonia will score 0 goals, and La Luz will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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