League Cup
Match Analysis
Plymouth
Exeter City
Plymouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
Exeter City
W
L
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | Exeter City | 2 - 2 | April 11, 2026 |
| Exeter City | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | October 23, 2025 |
| Exeter City | Plymouth | 0 - 1 | April 15, 2023 |
| Plymouth | Exeter City | 4 - 2 | October 31, 2022 |
| Exeter City | Plymouth | 4 - 0 | October 26, 2019 |
| Plymouth | Exeter City | 2 - 2 | October 3, 2017 |
Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Truro City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Torquay | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Bath City | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Plymouth Parkway | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Northampton | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Port Vale | 2 - 1 | Win |
Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Weston-super-Mare | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Truro City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Bradford | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Burton Albion | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Stockport County | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.91% likelihood that both Plymouth and Exeter City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Plymouth to win
This prediction indicates that Plymouth has a 56.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.76 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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