EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Plymouth
Swindon Town
Plymouth
L
W
W
D
W
W
Swindon Town
D
L
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | Plymouth | 3 - 1 | July 29, 2023 |
| Swindon Town | Plymouth | 1 - 3 | September 20, 2022 |
| Plymouth | Swindon Town | 1 - 3 | October 12, 2021 |
| Swindon Town | Plymouth | 0 - 2 | January 26, 2021 |
| Plymouth | Swindon Town | 4 - 2 | November 3, 2020 |
| Plymouth | Swindon Town | 1 - 2 | January 1, 2020 |
Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Stockport County | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Exeter City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Tavistock | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Truro City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Torquay | 0 - 1 | Win |
Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Northampton | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Leyton Orient | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.71% likelihood that both Plymouth and Swindon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Plymouth to win
This prediction indicates that Plymouth has a 59.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.97 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments